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 |  Ramzi Chamat

Rents on the rise: The unstoppable Spiral !

In Switzerland, the real estate market is in turmoil, marked by an incessant rise in rents and property prices. As the construction of new housing stagnates and the population continues to grow, the country faces a major challenge: how to guarantee equitable access to housing for all its residents? In this article, we explore the factors behind this situation, the implications for tenants and potential buyers, and possible responses to alleviate the crisis. Through detailed analysis, we seek to understand current dynamics and consider solutions for a more stable and accessible future for all.

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Introduction

 

The Swiss real estate market is currently facing unprecedented challenges. Rents continue to rise, reflecting an ever-growing demand and limited supply. This situation, exacerbated by a notable stagnation in construction activity, places renters and potential buyers in an increasingly precarious position. With sustained population growth and high demand in tourist regions, property prices continue to soar, making access to housing increasingly difficult for many Swiss residents. This article delves deeply into the causes of this crisis, its consequences for various market actors, and potential responses to alleviate these tensions. Through an analysis of current trends and future outlooks, we aim to shed light on the complex dynamics shaping the Swiss real estate market today.

 

 

1. Analysis of the Rise in Rents

 

The Swiss rental market is under increasing pressure, with a marked rise in rents over the past few years. According to Wüest Partner's summer report, the index of advertised rents rose by 6.4% in the second quarter of 2024 compared to the previous year. This increase is part of a broader trend of rising rents observed across the country, with no signs of slowing down in the short term.

 

Several factors explain this surge in rents. On the one hand, constant population growth creates an increased demand for housing. With an expanding population, particularly in urban centers and tourist regions, competition for available housing intensifies. On the other hand, the stagnation of construction activity exacerbates this situation. New constructions are not keeping pace with demand, limiting the supply of new housing and pushing prices higher.

 

Experts believe that this situation could persist. The slow pace of planning and approval processes for construction projects, combined with regulatory restrictions, hampers the expansion of housing supply. As a result, renters are forced to pay increasingly high rents, with few affordable alternatives available on the market.

 

 

2. The Impact of Stagnant Construction

 

One of the main drivers of rising rents in Switzerland is the stagnation of construction activity. Although the number of new building permit applications jumped by 22% in the second quarter of 2024 to reach 34,150 units, the impact of this increase on the market remains uncertain. Many permits are still pending, and it often takes several years between the granting of a permit and the completion of projects.

 

Several factors contribute to this stagnation. Strict construction regulations, high costs of materials and labor, and limited availability of buildable land are significant obstacles to a rapid increase in housing supply. Additionally, bureaucratic processes and frequent appeals often delay project completion, creating a bottleneck that limits the expansion of residential infrastructure.

 

This blockage exacerbates the housing shortage, particularly in major cities and popular tourist areas like Valais and Grisons. With demand far outstripping supply, rents continue to rise, leaving renters with few choices and increasing the financial burden on households.

 

 

3. Evolution of Property Prices

 

In parallel with rising rents, property prices in Switzerland are also experiencing a significant increase. Data from Wüest Partner shows that the prices of condominium apartments rose by 3.5% and houses by 2.5% in the second quarter of 2024. This trend is particularly pronounced in tourist regions, where demand for secondary residences and real estate investments is strong.

 

Valais and Grisons, with their attractive alpine landscapes and well-developed tourist infrastructure, are among the regions most affected by this price increase. These areas see increased demand from buyers seeking to acquire real estate as investments or vacation homes. Competition for these properties drives up prices, making homeownership even more challenging for local residents.

 

Compared to other European countries, Switzerland stands out for its tight real estate market, where demand often exceeds supply. This dynamic is amplified by a stable economic environment, strong demand for secure investments, and strict construction regulations, limiting the availability of new housing.

 

 

4. Repercussions for Renters and Potential Buyers

 

The consequences of this spiral of rising rents and property prices are significant for renters and potential buyers in Switzerland. For renters, rising rents mean a growing portion of their income is devoted to housing, reducing their purchasing power for other goods and services. This situation is particularly concerning for low-income households, who are most vulnerable to these increases.

 

For potential buyers, homeownership becomes an increasingly difficult goal to achieve. High prices, combined with strict mortgage requirements, exclude many households from the property market. This is especially true for young adults and families, who struggle to save enough for a down payment and meet banks' creditworthiness criteria.

 

In this context, strategies for navigating this challenging market are limited. Some renters choose to stay in their current homes to avoid rent increases, while others look to less sought-after regions where prices are more affordable. For buyers, searching for properties on the outskirts of major cities or in less popular areas becomes a more realistic option.

 

 

5. Political and Institutional Reactions and Responses

 

In response to this housing crisis, several political and institutional initiatives have been proposed or implemented to try to mitigate the situation. The Swiss Tenants' Association (ASLOCA), for example, has proposed an initiative to combat excessively high rents, aiming to introduce rent control measures and facilitate access to affordable housing.

 

At the governmental level, discussions are ongoing to simplify building permit procedures and encourage the construction of affordable housing. However, these measures often face resistance from real estate developers and local communities concerned about environmental impacts and quality of life.

 

Experts also emphasize the importance of innovative solutions, such as co-housing, housing cooperatives, and modular homes, to meet the growing demand for housing. These alternative models offer promising avenues to expand the housing supply and make the market more accessible to a broader range of people.

 

 

Conclusion

 

The rise in rents and property prices in Switzerland reflects complex dynamics, characterized by growing demand and insufficient supply. The challenges posed by construction stagnation, regulatory obstacles, and demographic pressure are significant. However, this crisis is not insurmountable. Concerted actions, both at the level of public policies and private initiatives, can provide viable solutions. By encouraging the construction of affordable housing, revising zoning policies, and promoting alternative property models, Switzerland can hope to stabilize its real estate market. The coming months and years will be crucial in determining the trajectory of this market, and it is essential to remain vigilant and proactive to ensure that every resident can find housing that meets their needs and means.

 

Ramzi Chamat

OAKS GROUP SA

Source : Blick



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